Anyone who expects a Labour landslide is living in a fantasy land.
Tory MPs like to agonise over whether the next General Election will be a repeat of 1992 (when the Conservatives under new leader John Major surprisingly won a fourth term on a much-reduced majority but one big enough to last five years); or 1997 (when the Major government was wiped out by Tony Blair‘s first landslide and the Tories spent 13 years exiled in the political wilderness).
In reality, it will be neither. Tory hopes of clinging to power are fading. Labour is clearly favourite to win the next election. But it will not be by a landslide.
Labour won’t win, the Tories will lose due to their shambolic period in office where they have squandered a decent majority and could have given the electorate the Conservative government they voted for. Instead we see weakness, disarray and rampant wokeism running rife. Keir Starmer will merely be much the same, but worse. The smaller parties have an opportunity to eat into the vote share of the larger parties and hopefully concentrate minds, but my own prediction is another hung parliament.
If they stand in my constituency, I’ll be giving Reform a punt. If not, then it’s none of the above.
The Tories have shot themselves in the foot over and over again. They got rid of a leader who won them a landslide and replaced him twice with idiots. They deserve to lose badly but I’m terrified that if Labour get in the hard left will rear their ugly heads once they get a sniff of power.
That did happen in Oz. If ScoMo had only given those who had voted for him what they wanted, he’d still be in power.
But he kept on sidling to the left and trying to steal from Labor those policies that people had voted against.
https://youtu.be/-7FqkdTdb6U
I think you’re correct in saying there will be no landslide victory for labour, but it seems clear that the Tories are going to get utterly wiped out, to the point where they become similar to the Lib Dems in terms of political clout.
They will never be forgiven for the covid debacle, the constant stream of lies and hectoring, the ruination of the economy, outrageous price gouging encouraged by net zero, non-Brexit, boat people, etc etc.
After a few years of Labour’s utter incompetence, neither party will be able to rally enough supporters in a GE to form a majority government. Then things will get interesting. Perhaps this ‘new Hitler’ I keep hearing about will emerge?
I certainly hope so.
There will always be the ‘vote against’ rather than ‘vote for’ factor. So some people will vote Tory with their noses pinched in order to keep Labour out. I suspect that’s a fairly large factor to consider.
I think people have finally realised that it makes absolutely NO difference if you vote Lab or Con, you are going to get exactly the same outcome – incompetence, grifting, race-mongering, mass immigration, net zero, gender whatever, state sponsored bullying from anything such as smoking, drinking or eating to how to raise one’s child, massive inflation, increased national debt, forever wars, shit public services, schools a cross between giant baby sitting centres and re-education camps, hospitals that kill you, fake vaccines for fake illnesses, more tax, ridiculous food and fuel prices, real-terms pay cuts, mass unemployment, street crime and fraud a national pastime, corrupt and even criminal police, a politicized judiciary, sexual deviancy promoted as normal and healthy, etc, etc.
I could go on.
I wouldn’t dispute any of the above. However, there are far too many people who will just go ahead and vote for them. My prediction remains much the same – Labour forming the biggest party and the Tories second. A small Labour majority or a hung parliament. Frankly, I prefer the latter.
I’d hang the fucking lot.
I’ve voted Con while holding my nose for thirty years, enough of the least worse option, next time it will be none
The last time I voted for them, yes holding my nose, was to get Brexit sorted and to keep Corbyn out. The Brexit promise turned out to be a lie so when Boris Johnson stood on a platform of getting it done I spoiled the ballot. I just didn’t trust them. Brexit offered us a massive opportunity, had we had a competent government we could have made huge strides once we were free of the bureaucratic millstone of the EU. We may even have been instrumental in bringing the whole rotten edifice crashing down had we made a success of it. I now regard the political class as my enemies, people who are deliberately doing real and genuine harm to myself and those closest to me. None of the current shower will get my vote ever again.