One Can Hope

So which will it be – Italy, Greece or France?

Euroscepticism has been an especially strong undercurrent in European politics over the past decade, with several parties putting the question of continued membership forward in elections across the bloc since the UK’s departure. Whether it be Brussels’ laws, immigration quotas, or the scandals rocking the heart of the institution itself, countries have plenty of reasons to eye another path. Check Express.co.uk’s interactive map below to see who’s most likely to exit next.

I suspect that it would only take one of these to create a cascade effect. The joy would be unimaginable. But what do those unemployed bureaucrats do? Sign on?

11 Comments

  1. My money would be on France. The other two are peripheral EU states and have been given plenty of reasons to jump ship already, but they haven’t because they’re firmly attached to the EU teat, so I doubt they ever will. A country that can be humiliated like the Greeks and Italians were by the Germans and just take it is not going to suddenly gain some balls. France on the other hand is a core EU state and gets its own way all the time. My guess would be that something transpires whereby the EU tells France ‘Non’, and they flounce off as a result. Possibly over the pension issue thats tearing France apart at the moment. If the French were to be told by the EU that they have to up their pension age that would definitely stick the cat among the proverbials.

  2. Not sure that the unemployed EU bureaucrats would be capable of filling in the forms correctly to successfully claim benefits…

  3. I’d put evens on Italy or France.
    Greece already got it up the chuff from the EU / Germany and are still there.
    Italy and France have a bit more to lose by remaining in.

    What will it be called though?
    France is obviously going to be Frexit.
    Hopefully Italy will be called Italeave, but the media will try to force Itexit I imagine…

    • I’m reasonably sure “Italexit” was coined before “Brexit”, back when they feared the idea of “Grexit” spreading along the Med.

  4. Nobody is going anywhere. If there was an actual referendum in any of the current satrapies, I would be amazed at a leave vote! (but I would, of course, welcome such an impossibility)

    The British referendum was a truly spectacular own goal. The expected enabling act would have had massive consequences. It did, but not the ones intended.

    I don’t think “euroscepticism” means the same thing on the benighted side of the channel.

    Oh there are true eurosceptics there, but I doubt if there will ever be enough. For most who are thus labelled, I posit that it actually means a return to the comfortable status quo – snouts in the trough, arse in the air and fuck “european” laws (these being only for the stupid British).

    However, the euro put an end to all that, and a quarter of a century later, this simple truth has yet to penetrate thick euro skulls.

    Isn’t article 50 due to be quietly deleted from the next democratically accepted “treaty”?

    Irrelevant anyway, as if there is ONE lesson the gauleiters have learned it is no more in/out referendums (which genuinely would be elephant traps in any of the satrapies, so maybe we might see one somewhere).

    Or maybe Ukraine will gain membership in the next few years (would even they be THAT stupid? I wouldn’t rule it out).

    I used to think, “fuck it, it’s all going to fall apart soon”, but the zombie won’t die. How can it, it’s dead already?

    If there is no formal process for leaving – getting out of the treaties- they can only be defaulted (is that the right word”.

    And how exactly does a country leave the euro?

    • “Or maybe Ukraine will gain membership in the next few years (would even they be THAT stupid? I wouldn’t rule it out).”

      If you read the Association Agreement, it becomes obvious that’s the plan.

      I’ve been saying it since the whole thing kicked off: it’s not NATO that The Mad Dictator is worried about; it’s an EU external border on his doorstep. And while I can’t condone his response, when you look at Northern Ireland can you really blame him? The Agreement alone will force the Ukraine to abandon the CIS standards system and leave the Eurasian customs union. Full EU membership might as well be a new Iron Curtain.

      • Fuck me with ice cream and a break, they ARE that stupid!! How much in farm subsidies will that cost!!! (Not to mention rebuilding costs)

        He has quite an extensive external EU border presently, but I’m sure they can cause more offense and spite with a longer one.

  5. I reckon the anti-farming regulations could be the nail in the coffin of the EU along with net zero when that all starts to really affect people…

    Fingers crossed anyway!

  6. Poland would be my bet but the others probably won’t leave . I really can’t see the unelected EU scum allowing another country to leave after we humiliated them in 2016.
    Any country thinking of leaving will be bullied and bribed beyond belief.

  7. Lest you forget, France voted against Lisbon by 55/45 in 2005… Sarkozy said that he heard the warning, pretended to obtain changes to the treaty, and promptly got the constitution amended via the parliamentary route without a 2nd referendum.

    None of those countries will leave voluntarily.

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