The Quality of Evidence

When I started my career in assessing competence, I was introduced to the concept of determining how useful evidence was. That is, it needs to be verifiable and you weigh it against all relevant factors. One such being that if the evidence comes from an unreliable source that has been wrong about everything, then it isn’t reliable evidence. This is pretty basic stuff.

Former Health Secretary Matt Hancock says he was warned 820,000 people in the UK could die from Covid two months before the country went into lockdown.

In his new diaries on the pandemic, the MP says in January 2020 he was told by England’s chief medical officer the toll was “a reasonable case scenario” if restrictions were not introduced.

This information came from Pantsdown Ferguson, whose chaotic computer models have consistently produced unreliable results. He has been so wrong with every single prediction he has made, it would make a clairvoyant blush. So the ‘evidence’ should have been taken with a pinch of salt. Common sense should have been applied. But none of this happened. Instead we were sent onto a self-destructive path on the basis of the witterings of an insane egomaniac who hasn’t a clue what he is doing and was so contemptuous of the rules he applied to others that he broke them to get his end away – well, they both did.

Figures show more than 200,000 people with Covid have died in the UK to date.

Oh, God, here we go. No they didn’t. All we can say for certain is that over the two-year period, some 200,000 people died. Some of whom tested positive for covid 28 days before death. Some died with covid yet had comorbidities. Some – a small number – died of covid and nothing but covid, just as they do from influenza. Still the charlatans are peddling this absurd lie. And it is a lie.

In his new book, Mr Hancock says that when he mentioned the projected death toll to other cabinet ministers, their reaction was “somewhat ‘shrug shrug’ – essentially because they didn’t really believe it”.

Because it was bollocks. Instead of just shrugging, they should have talked some sense into the cretin and stopped the descent into insanity.

He said that 11 days later, England’s chief medical officer Sir Chris Whitty also warned transmission would be so high that “almost everyone would catch it”.

Well, yes, we have and we didn’t die, because it’s much like flu.

Mr Hancock wrote: “In his characteristically understated way, sitting at the back peeling a tangerine, Chris Whitty quietly informed everyone that in the reasonable worst-case scenario as many as 820,000 people in the UK may die…. The whole room froze. We are looking at a human catastrophe on a scale not seen here for a century.”

And it was bollocks. No sensible person would have believed it. Especially given the source of that figure.

What we are seeing here is a post facto attempt to make themselves look good despite the truth finally coming out. They lied. They lied and lied and lied. We knew they were lying and they knew that we knew that they were lying, yet they lied anyway and the simple minded fell for it. What we need is a multi-person gallows pour encourager les autres. I won’t forgive, nor will I forget.

7 Comments

  1. The problem is we would be in danger of running out of lampposts and there would be a shortage of piano wire.

  2. Nothing a competent Project Manager can’t resolve. We reuse the piano wire, after sterilising of course, wouldn’t want them catching something in the few minutes they are wearing it and this will help with the scheduling. Lets say 30 mins per lamppost. Five mins prep, 5 mins of kicking and then 15 mins so people can spit on them and throw eggs etc, 5 mins cleanup and there we go. We can extend it to 45 mins if we want to give special ones 30 mins time for spitting etc.

  3. “…they lied anyway and the simple minded fell for it.”

    The problem is that it wasn’t just the simple minded. Intelligent people who I would have expected to know better believed all the hype. Just about all of my family are still getting booster jabs. I’m seen as being a slightly nutty contrarian.

  4. “In his new book, Mr Hancock says that when he mentioned the projected death toll to other cabinet ministers, their reaction was ‘somewhat ‘shrug shrug’ – essentially because they didn’t really believe it’.”

    Well, it’s infinitesimally comforting to know that at least some of them had the sense they were born with. But yeah, they might have told him to fuck off.

  5. Why this vacuous twat was appointed Health Secretary in the first place baffles me, seems more at home stacking shelves.

    The utter vanity of the man makes me enraged.

    • The problem is that nobody who has anything about them wants to be in government these days. So, if you are a stupid gullible idiot who is incapable of doing any kind of real productive job, the door is wide open. Big money and power freely available for imbeciles with no scruples.

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